Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1.607992 1.857166 2.126712 2.439277 2.791036 3.173933 3.621520
2024-10-20 1.166636 1.497024 1.887001 2.378184 2.976943 3.679551 4.562523
2024-10-27 0.914339 1.288622 1.765580 2.410480 3.251118 4.300300 5.697949
2024-11-03 0.735408 1.128349 1.664591 2.436160 3.501564 4.902320 6.860896
2024-11-10 0.596837 0.990745 1.563100 2.433989 3.699363 5.440135 7.977456
2024-11-17 0.483037 0.864211 1.451722 2.393136 3.825934 5.878919 8.983848
2024-11-24 0.392475 0.754570 1.344836 2.337555 3.914469 6.259260 9.925432
2024-12-01 0.333881 0.685760 1.289330 2.349386 4.098172 6.784164 11.106533
2024-12-08 0.281509 0.617121 1.222114 2.329974 4.224621 7.224853 12.184577
2024-12-15 0.250146 0.581381 1.205436 2.390857 4.482516 7.882858 13.634613
2024-12-22 0.216917 0.535198 1.162261 2.397908 4.646784 8.398271 14.887822
2024-12-29 0.200583 0.521017 1.176864 2.509875 4.999620 9.242802 16.719831
2025-01-05 0.180525 0.496134 1.169450 2.584354 5.301117 10.037416 18.547406
2025-01-12 0.154068 0.451116 1.114738 2.561343 5.423885 10.538201 19.921547
2025-01-19 0.137546 0.426555 1.099507 2.615000 5.694375 11.315159 21.816598
2025-01-26 0.121950 0.400787 1.077512 2.651443 5.933842 12.051587 23.684410
2025-02-02 0.106294 0.371052 1.041580 2.653159 6.103507 12.670284 25.377960
2025-02-09 0.090477 0.336727 0.988941 2.610945 6.178879 13.116454 26.783563
2025-02-16 0.076259 0.303191 0.932332 2.551800 6.211890 13.481633 28.057904
2025-02-23 0.067273 0.283669 0.908232 2.564941 6.397858 14.151228 29.933256
2025-03-02 0.058183 0.261122 0.872101 2.544157 6.507031 14.674713 31.557500
2025-03-09 0.053303 0.251973 0.871287 2.609948 6.812124 15.604783 34.005139
2025-03-16 0.047118 0.236143 0.848707 2.617593 6.985666 16.277384 35.984899